计及楼宇综合能源规划系统中负荷预测方法研究

Study on Load Prediction Method Taking Into Account the Integrated Building Energy Planning System

提出一种计及楼宇综合能源规划系统负荷预测的方法,研究楼宇系统中空调冷热负荷的预测方法,对指标法、动态负荷算法、逐时负荷系数法等方法进行了详细阐述,在此基础上提出了综合能源系统负荷预测模型并进行了仿真验证。给出了楼宇综合能源规划系统不同建筑物的冷热负荷系数曲线,不同建筑物的冷热负荷系数曲线有所不同。通过建立模型,验证了楼宇综合能源规划在技术方面的可行性,为空调负荷调控的推广应用提供了理论和实践指导。

A load forecasting method for building integrated energy planning system is proposed.In this paper,the forecasting method of air conditioning cold and heat load in building system is studied,and through index method,dynamic load algorithm,hourly load coefficient method and so on,the load forecasting model of integrated energy system is put forward and verified by simulation.The cold and heat load coefficient curves of different buildings in the integrated energy planning system of buildings are given.By establishing the model,the feasibility of building comprehensive energy planning in technology is verified,which provides theoretical and practical guidance for the popularization and application of air conditioning load control.