疫病与城市社会:历史轨迹、风险逻辑与应急管理

Epidemics and Urban Society:Historical Trajectories,Interaction Rules,and Risk Logic

疫病与城市社会在漫长的互动进化过程中先后经历了自我调适、疫病圈形成、疫病均质化和新疫病体系构建四个历史阶段。通过不断传播与变异,呈现出异质与分化、叠加与纠缠、无常与易变的互动规律。疫病与城市社会表现出共在性、均衡性与非封闭性的发展趋势,导致了当代城市与疫病存在着多尺度交织、系统性脆弱、多样性与差异性的风险。因此,面对城市正在经历的治理危机,我们需要从治理理念和应急管理体系两个层面重构城市的"免疫系统"。从治理理念层面,不断凝聚全球治理、现代化治理和全民参与治理的战略共识;从应急管理机制层面,要加强以韧性城市建设为"主体",以多元共治格局和信息化建设为"两翼"的城市应急管理体系。

In the long process of interaction and evolution between epidemic diseases and urban society,there are four historical stages:self-adaptation,epidemic circle formation,epidemic homogenization and new epidemic system construction.Through continuous propagation and variation,it presents the interaction rules of heterogeneity and differentiation,superposition and entanglement,impermanence and volatility.The trend of co-existence,equilibrium and non-closure between urban society and epidemic disease leads to the existence of multi-scale interweaving,systemic vulnerability,diversity and difference risks in contemporary cities and epidemic.Therefore,in the face of the governance crisis that the city is experiencing,we need to reconstruct the“immune system”of the city from two aspects:the governance concept and the construction of emergency management system.From the perspective of governance concept,we will continue to build strategic consensus on global governance,modern governance and public participation in governance.From the perspective of emergency management mechanism,it is necessary to strengthen the urban emergency management system that takes the resilient urban construction as the“main body”and the multi-governance pattern and the informatization construction as the“two wings”.