土地流转的影响因素研究——基于CFPS的调查数据

Study on the Influence Factors of Land Transfer——Based on the Survey Data of CFPS

为在全国范围内进一步推动农地有序流转,推动新型农业经营主体的发展,补齐农业现代化短板,以中国家庭追踪调查(简称CFPS)最新公布的2018年数据为基础,运用Logistic逻辑回归模型对影响乡村农户土地流转的因素进行了分析。结果表明:家庭中外出打工人口比重、打工收入、子女对父母的经济支持、征地、生产投入成本、农地产出总值、年末总收入等因素对土地流出具有显著影响;农户年龄、学历水平、婚姻状况、户口性质、身体健康状况、子女对父母的经济支持、是否经历过征地、生产投入成本、农地产出总值、农户兼业化、农业补贴等因素对农户土地转入具有显著影响。

In order to further promote the orderly circulation of agricultural land in the whole country,and to promote the development of new agricultural business entities,we should make up for the short board of agricultural modern⁃ization.Based on the data of China family panel survey(CFPS)in 2018,logistic regression model and robustness test were used.Results:The proportion of migrant workers in the family,the income from working,the financial support of children to their parents,whether they have experienced land acquisition,production input cost,total output value of agricultural land,and total income at the end of the year have significant influence on the outflow of land;the age,edu⁃cation level,marital status,household registration nature,health status,financial support of children to parents,wheth⁃er they have experienced land acquisition,production input cost,total output value of agricultural land,part-time em⁃ployment of farmers and whether they get agricultural subsidies have significant influence on the transfer of land.