东北三省旅游经济空间格局演变研究

Research on Spatial Pattern Evolution of Tourism Economy in Three Northeastern Provinces

选取2009—2018年截面数据,借助ArcGIS10.2软件,运用重力模型、全局自相关、局部自相关、局域关联指数等定量分析方法,探究东北三省旅游经济空间格局演变,并选择7个一级指标、13个二级指标,利用灰色关联分析法研究其影响旅游经济发展的关联程度.研究表明:①2009—2018年东北三省旅游经济重心在辽宁省内且向东北方向偏移.②东北三省旅游经济表现为空间依赖性.旅游经济高-高集聚区主要集中在辽宁、吉林,低-低集聚区集中在黑龙江.另外,辽宁、吉林旅游经济发展差异二元结构也较为显著.③东北三省旅游经济发展由"西南高、东北低"逐渐演变为"中间高、两端低"的空间格局.2009—2018年旅游经济的发展以热点区为主.④居民生活水平、旅游资源、人力资源、经济等一级指标对东北三省旅游经济影响较为显著;生活垃圾无害处理率、移动电话用户数量等二级指标的影响也不容忽视.

Select cross-section data in 2009-2018,with the aid of ArcGIS10.2 software,using gravity model,global autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation,local correlation index,such as quantitative analysis method,explore the three northeast provinces tourism economic spatial pattern evolution,and select 7 first-level indicators,13 secondary indicators,using grey correlation analysis method to study the influence of the tourism economic development degree of correlation. The results show that the tourism economic center of the three northeast provinces in 10 years is in Liaoning province and shifted to the northeast direction. The tourism economy of the three northeastern provinces is spatial dependence. The tourism economy high agglomeration areas are mainly in Liaoning province and Jilin province,while the low agglomeration areas are in Heilongjiang province. In addition,Liaoning,Jilin tourism economic development difference dual structure is also more significant. The development of tourism economy in the three northeastern provinces has gradually evolved from"high in the southwest and low in the northeast"to a spatial pattern of"high in the middle and low at both ends". The development of tourism economy in the past 10 years is dominated by hot spots. The residents’ living standard,tourism resources,human resources,economy and other first-level indicators have a significant impact on the tourism economy in northeast China. The impact of secondary indicators,such as the rate of harmless disposal of household garbage and the number of mobile phone users,cannot be ignored.