农地流转与农民增收耦合关系研究

Research on the Coupling Relationship between Farmland Circulation and Farmers’Income Increase

为实证探究农地流转与农民增收的互动关系,运用耦合模型和主成分分析,探究2001—2017年我国农地流转与农民增收时空耦合关系及其主要影响因素。结果显示:综合指数总体农地流转快于农民增收的发展,增长与差距始终存在;农地流转与农民增收耦合协调度总体水平较低,其中北京、天津、浙江协调度指数在逐步上升,稳居前三;影响因素人均农作物播种面积、机械化水平以及收入结构对农地流转与农民增收耦合协调度影响较大。最后,提出应充分考虑各地区农地流转和农民增收协区域差异性,选择适合当地的农业发展模式,推动两者相互关系发展。

In order to empirically explore the interactive relationship between farmland transfer and farmers’income increase,coupling model and principal component analysis were used to explore the spatio-temporal coupling relationship between my country’s farmland transfer and farmers’income increase from 2001 to 2017 and its main influencing factors.The results showed that the overall index of agricultural land circulation was faster than the development of farmers’income increase,and the growth and gaps always existed;the overall level of coordination between agricultural land circulation and farmers’income increase was relatively low.Among them,the coordination index of Beijing,Tianjin,and Zhejiang was gradually rising and stable,ranked in the top three;influencing factors:the per capita sown area of crops,the level of mechanization,and the income structure had a greater impact on the coupling and coordination of agricultural land transfer and farmers’income increase.Finally,it was proposed that the regional differences of agricultural land transfer and farmers’income increase in various regions should be fully considered,and the appropriate local agricultural development model should be selected to promote the development of the relationship between the two.