东盟国家海洋经济发展潜力实证研究

An Empirical Study on Development Potentials of Marine Economy in ASEAN Countries

以国家宏观经济发展环境、海洋产业发展水平、海洋科技与创新水平、涉海企业管理水平和海洋可持续发展这五个大类作为一级指标,运用因子分析对除老挝外的东盟国家的海洋经济发展潜力进行综合评价。结果表明:一是新加坡海洋经济发展潜力综合评价得分第一,该国具有良好的宏观经济环境、较高的海洋科技与创新水平和涉海企业管理水平;二是印度尼西亚的综合评价得分第二,该国海洋产业规模大,拥有丰富的海洋资源和多样的海洋生态;三是马来西亚和泰国的综合评价得分分别为第三和第四,这两个国家海洋产业发展水平、海洋科技与创新水平、涉海企业管理水平、海洋经济可持续性发展都很不错;四是其他国家的综合评价得分均为负值。

Based on five categories of first-level indicators such as macroeconomic development en⁃vironment,development level of marine industry,marine science and technology and innovation,manage⁃ment of marine-related enterprises and sustainable marine development,factor analysis is applied to make comprehensive evaluation of the development potentials of marine economy in ASEAN countries ex⁃cept for Laos.The results show that:(1)Singapore ranks first in the comprehensive evaluation of marine economic development potentials thanks to its favorable macroeconomic environment,a high level of ma⁃rine science and technology and innovation,and good management of marine-related enterprises.(2)Indo⁃nesia ranks second in the comprehensive evaluation thanks to its large scale of marine industry,rich ma⁃rine resources and diverse marine ecology.(3)Malaysia and Thailand rank the third and fourth respectively in the comprehensive evaluation.Both the two countries perform well in terms of development level of ma⁃rine industry,marine science and technology and innovation,management of marine-related enterprises and sustainable marine development.(4)Other countries get negative scores in the comprehensive evaluation.