城市创新能力的成长动力、成长曲线与驱动机制研究——基于213个城市面板数据的实证

A Study of the Growth Impetus,Growth Curve and Driving Mechanism of Urban Innovation Capacity: Based on the Empirical Analysis of the Panel Data of 213 Cities

城市作为区域发展的中心,集聚各类要素资源与经济社会活动,其创新能力的提升关乎城市经济发展、区域协调发展及国家可持续发展。本文基于以往的研究成果,采集我国213个地级及以上城市2007-2016年间的面板数据,运用时间序列分析、空间数据分析及多元回归分析等研究方法描绘了城市创新能力的成长曲线,对城市创新能力的成长动力与驱动机制进行了探索,得出各个解释变量均对城市创新能力产生了显著的正向影响,其中,创新人才变量驱动能力最强的结论。在此基础上,本文还揭示不同区域不同城市的创新能力驱动机制,对成长动力各个维度在我国不同区域不同城市中的驱动强度进行了验证。

This study constructs an analytical framework and measurement model of urban innovation capacity growth impetus.It collects the panel data from 213 Chinese cities of the prefecture level and above from the year 2007 to 2016.Such research methods as analysis of time series,spatial data analysis,multiple regression analysis are adopted to probe into urban innovation capacity growth impetus,curve and driving mechanism.Every explaining variable has produced significant positive influence on urban innovation capacity,which accords with the research hypothesis.On this basis,a regression analysis of the data from different regions and cities is conducted,and the innovation capacity driving mechanism of different regions and cities is unveiled.