美国国家安全中的能源熵值及其启示意义

Energy Entropy in American National Security and Its Insight

能源熵值通过熵值的大小判断能源安全自身的安全状态,进而解构能源安全对该国国家安全的影响大小和影响根源。以美国、英国和日本为首的西方国家,在经历20世纪70年代的石油危机之后,通过不断提高能源熵值,即加速供给和消费两侧特别是供给侧的多样性和多元化,减少对单一能源品种的依赖,以增强本国的能源安全,降低能源安全对国家安全的影响。从我国国情出发,健全完善保障我国能源安全的战略措施,应借鉴西方国家的做法,一方面降低不稳定供应来源的油气在我国能源安全体系中的权重,减少油气对外高依存度的安全风险隐患;另一方面快速发展新能源及可再生能源等替代能源,加速能源结构多元化发展,提升我国能源安全保障程度。

The energy entropy can judge the security state of energy security by the entropy value,and then deconstruct the scale and source of the influence energy security has on the national security of the country.After the oil crisis in the 1970s,the Western countries,led by the United States,Britain and Japan,have been increasing energy entropy by accelerating diversification of supply and consumption with a focus on the supply side and reducing dependence on the single energy source,so as to enhance their own energy security and minimize the impact of energy security on national security.This provides an insight to China in terms of adopting some strategic measures to ensure China’s energy security based on its national conditions.On the one hand,China should decrease the weight of oil and gas from unstable sources in China’s energy security system and mitigate the security risk of high dependence on overseas oil and gas;on the other hand,it should rapidly develop alternative energy such as new energy and renewable energy to accelerate the diversification of energy structure and better guarantee energy security in China.