某医院门诊住院人次变化的周期性分析

Periodic analysis of the change of inpatient number in the outpatient department of a hospital

目的分析评价某医院门诊住院人次变化的原因,为医院管理提供决策建议。方法以某医院近5年门诊住院人次统计报表提供的数据为依据,采用时间序列直接平均季节指数法进行数据分析。结果医院门诊人次旺季依次为12月、1月及5月,淡季依次为9月、2月及8月;周内比率显示门诊人次周一最高,周二开始下降,周四降至最低点,周五缓慢爬升,周六周日上升至下周一的峰值,完成了门诊人次的1个周期性循环。住院人次旺季依次为12月、1月及11月,淡季依次为2月、9月及8月;周内比率显示住院人次周一最高,周二至周日逐渐下降,至下周一又上升至峰值,完成了住院人次的1个周期性循环。结论某医院门诊人次9月最少、住院人次2月最少,周一门诊住院人次最多。

Objective To analyze and evaluate the reasons for the changes in the number of outpatients in a hospital,and to provide decision-making suggestions for the hospital management.Methods Based on the data provided by the statistical report of outpatient visits in a hospital in recent 5 years,the time series direct average seasonal index method was used to analyze the data.Results The peak season of outpatient visits in the hospital was December,January and May,and the off-season was September,February and August.The intra-week ratio showed that the number of outpatient visits was the highest on Monday,began to decline on Tuesday,dropped to the lowest point on Thursday,climbed slowly on Friday,and rose to the peak on Saturday and Sunday of next Monday,completing a periodic cycle of outpatient visits.The peak season of hospitalization was December,January and November,and the off-season was February,September and August.The intra-week ratio showed that the number of hospitalizations was the highest on Monday,gradually decreased from Tuesday to Sunday,and rose to the peak of next Monday,completing a periodic cycle of hospitalization.Conclusion The number of outpatient visits was the lowest in September,the number of inpatient visits was the lowest in February,and the number of outpatient visits was the highest on Monday in the hospital.