西部地区新型工业化发展质量测度与评价

Quality Measurement and Evaluation of New Industrialization Development in Western China

基于2008—2017年我国西部11个省份的面板数据,对西部地区新型工业化发展质量进行测度与评价,探究西部地区新型工业化发展的空间依赖性及其影响因素的时空作用机制。研究结果显示:(1)在只考虑地理距离的空间关系下,我国西部地区新型工业化发展质量的空间分布呈现着"高-高"集聚与"高-低"极化的趋势,形成演化空间差异相对明显的空间格局;(2)影响西部地区新型工业化发展质量的因素存在着空间溢出效应,其中资源储量、开放度、技术创新起到促进作用,而资本投入、劳动力投入、政府干预产生阻碍作用。研究提出我国西部地区应因地制宜实施生态评估机制与产业政策布局,合理进行人力资本、信息技术与基础设施的投入与建设,利用空间溢出效应实施生态导向的目标责任制;提高生态系统的承载力,放慢经济增长的速度,提升工业化的质量型绩效水平,实现新型工业化高质量发展的空间格局。

Based on the panel data of 11 provinces in Western China from 2008 to 2017, this paper measures and evaluates the development quality of new industrialization in Western China, and explores its spatial dependence of the development of new industrialization and the temporal and spatial mechanism of influencing factors. The results show that:(1) The spatial distribution of new industrialization development quality in Western China shows the trend of "high-high" agglomeration and "high-low" polarization under the condition of considering only the spatial relationship of geographical distance, and forms a relatively obvious spatial pattern of evolution spatial difference.(2) The factors affecting the quality of new industrialization development in the Western region have spatial spillover effects, in which resources reserves, openness and technological innovation play a role in promoting, while capital inputs, labor input and government intervention play a role in hindering. The paper puts forward that the western region of China should carry out the ecological evaluation mechanism and industrial policy layout according to the local conditions, carry out the investment and construction of human capital, information technology and infrastructure reasonably, and carry out the target responsibility system of ecological orientation by using the spatial spillover effect;in addition, should improve the carrying capacity of ecosystem, slow down the speed of economic growth, improve the quality performance level of industrialization, and realize the spatial pattern of high quality development of new industrialization.