京津对外开放的服务业空间效应与协同发展

Spatial Effect and Coordinated Development of the Service Industry of Beijing and Tianjin's Opening Up

使用北京、天津32个市辖区的面板数据,运用空间杜宾模型,对2008—2018年京津对外开放与服务业发展的关系进行实证分析。结果表明:2015年京津冀协同发展战略推行后,京津对外开放水平的提升对相邻地区服务业发展有显著正向作用;经济发展水平的提高对本地区服务业发展水平的提升有明显促进作用的同时,也会对相邻地区服务业发展起到抑制作用;科技创新水平的提高带动了本地服务业发展;政府控制的加强对相邻地区服务业发展产生较为积极的影响。

Based on the panel data of 32 municipal districts of Beijing and Tianjin,this paper employs the Spatial Durbin Model to conduct an empirical analysis of the relationship between Beijing and Tianjin's opening up and their service industry development from 2008 to 2018.The result shows that since the policy adjustment in 2015,the strengthening of opening up and government control in Beijing and Tianjin has effectively exerted a positive impact on the development of the service industry in neighboring regions;a stronger economy has obvious promotion on the service industry in the region but restraining effect in its neighboring areas;technological innovation has promoted the local service industry;strenghening of government control has a positive effect on the development of service industry in neiboring areas.