主导产业集聚与物流业发展的耦合关系研究——以西北五省(自治区)为例

Research on the Coupling Relationship between Leading Industry Agglomeration and Logistics Industry Development:Taking Five Privinces Autonomus Regions in Northwest China as an Example

本文运用区位商对西北五省的主导产业进行识别,并选取相应指标代表主导产业集聚程度和物流业发展水平,利用熵值法拟合出各省的主导产业集聚程度指数和物流业发展水平指数,计算各省上述两个指数的有序度并运用耦合协调模型计算二者之间在2007—2017年度的耦合协调度。结合各省(自治区)两个指数的有序度回归关系和相关关系进行分析,得出除青海省以外,其余四省(自治区)主导产业集聚程度和物流业发展水平均从不协调逐渐走向协调,青海省在剔除三个采矿业以后从不协调走向协调的结论。在此基础上,提出西北地区应进一步提升物流业运行效率,加大物流业的投资,加强物流产业区域间合作与协同,努力推动区域主导产业的集聚化发展和转型升级的相关政策建议。

This paper uses regional entropy to recognize the leading industries of the five provinces in northwest China,selects the corresponding indicators to represent the agglomeration degree of the leading industries and the development level of logistics industry,uses entropy method to fit leading industry agglomeration degree index and logistics industry development level index of each province,has calculated the degree of order of above two indexes of each province,uses coupling coordination model to calculate the coupling coordination degree of the two during 2007—2017,and conducts analysis by combining the regression relation of the degree of order of the two indexes and their correlation of each province.The results show that,except Qinghai Province,the leading industry agglomeration degree and logistics industry development level of the other four provinces autonomus regions gradually become coordinated from non-coordination averagely,and also become coordinated from non-coordination in Qinghai if Qinghai eliminates three mining industries.Based on this,this paper points out that northwest areas should further promote the operating efficiency of logistics industry,enlarge the investment in logistics industry,strengthen regional cooperation and coordination of logistics industry,and try hard to boost the agglomerated development,transformation and upgrading of the regional leading industries.