基于灰色模型的航材周转件需求量预测

Forecast of the Demand for Air Material Turnover Parts Based on Grey Model

为了保障飞机正常起飞,提高航空公司经济收益,提出了一种基于灰色模型的航材周转件需求量预测方法。首先,阐述了航材周转件的定义,并分析了航材周转件的重要性;其次,介绍了灰色GM(1,1)模型及精度检验;最后,通过实例分析表明,灰色GM(1,1)模型预测航材周转件需求量的实用性以及可行性。为航空公司航材周转件需求量预测提供了理论依据。

In order to ensure the normal take-off of aircraft and improve the economic benefits of airlines,a forecasting method of air material turnover parts demand based on grey model is proposed.Firstly,the definition of air material turnover parts is described,and the importance of air material turnover parts is analyzed.Secondly,the grey GM(1,1) model and its accuracy test are introduced.Finally,the practical application and feasibility of grey GM(1,1) model in forecasting the demand of air material turnover parts are shown through the analysis of examples.It provides a theoretical basis for forecasting the demand of air material turnover parts for airlines.