四季度经济学家信心指数继续回升 预期我国经济保持较好复苏态势--2020年四季度中国百名经济学家信心调查报告

Economists Confidence Index(ECI)Keeps Rising in Q42020 China’s Economy Is Expected to Maintain a Good Recovery Trend Report of the Survey on the Confidence of About 100 Chinese Economists in Q4 2020

国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心于2020年12月开展了四季度中国百名经济学家信心调查显示,四季度经济学家信心指数继续回升。其中,即期经济景气指数回升至临界点(100)以上,预期经济景气指数保持在高位水平,表明经济学家认为当前经济回暖,并看好未来经济复苏态势。经济学家预期未来半年全球贸易缓慢恢复,跨境投资趋于回升。经济学家预期未来半年我国就业形势总体稳定,消费价格波动趋升,生产价格逐步上行,消费和投资需求持续改善,出口形势继续向好。

China Economic Monitoring and Analysis Center(CEMAC)of the National Bureau of Statistics(NBS)conducted a survey on the confidence of about 100 Chinese economists in December 2020,according to which,the Economists Confidence Index(ECI)kept rising in the fourth quarter(Q4)of 2020.Specifically,the Current Economic Climate Index rebounded above the threshold of 100,while the Expected Economic Climate Index remained at a high level,indicating that economists believe that China’s economy is picking up and they remain optimistic about the future economic recovery.They expect that in the coming 6 months,the recovery of global trade will be slow。