摘要
海上风电资源潜力大,将在我国能源转型中扮演重要角色。成本已成为决定海上风电未来发展规模的关键因素。本文通过构建海上风电平准化度电成本模型,对不同海域及省份的海上风电进行经济性评价,研究“十四五”末期海上风电平价上网的可行性。结果表明,2025年,福建、浙江、江苏可实现海上风电平价上网,其中广东、福建和江苏的海上风电成本具有较强的竞争优势。
Ofshore wind power has great potential and will play an important role in China's energy transformation.Cost has become a key factor in detemining the future development scale of ofsthore wind power.In this paper,the cost model of ofTshore wind power is constructed 1o evaluate the economic eficiency of offshore wind power in diferent sca areas and provinces,and to study the feasibilty of fshore wind power on gid al the end of the 14th five year plan.The results show that in 2025,Fujian,Zhejiang and Jiangsu can achieve the ofshore wind power grid price,and the ofshore wind power cost of Guangdong.Fujian and Jiangsu has a strong competitive advantage.
出处
《中国能源》
2021年第2期48-53,共6页
Energy of China
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“低碳电力转型目标决策、路径优化与政策机制协同设计”(编号:71673085)。
关键词
海上风电
平准化度电成本
平价上网
Ofshore Wind Power
Levelized Cost of Eletricity:Grid Parity
