基于五运六气理论建立肺系疾病列线图预测评分体系

Study on the establishment of nomogram predictive scoring system for lung diseases based on the five evolutive phases and six climatic factors

目的:研究人体出生、受孕时的运气禀赋对肺系疾病发病倾向的影响,探索依据先天运气禀赋预测人体罹患肺系疾病发作风险的列线图模型。方法:建立吉林省中医院2014年1月1日-2018年12月31日共5年间五脏病日入院患者的疾病资料数据库。其中患肺系疾病患者1400例,患非肺系疾病患者27447例,从中随机抽取1394例作为对照组。采用逻辑(Logistic)回归方法得到相关危险因素系数,依此建立列线图模型。结果:出生时客气,受孕时主气,受孕时客气为肺系疾病发生的独立影响因素(P<0.05)。结论:建立的列线图模型可以应用在长春地区肺系疾病的预测上,对肺系疾病罹患的风险具有一定预测作用。

Objective:To study the influence of five evolutive phases and six climatic factors endowment at birth and conception on the incidence tendency of lung diseases and explore a nomogram model for predicting the risk of lung diseases based on innate five evolutive phases and six climatic factors endowment.Methods:The disease data database of patients admitted to Jilin Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 1,2014 to December 31,2018 was established.There were 1400 patients with lung diseases and 27447 patients with non-lung diseases,among which 1394 were randomly selected as the control group.The risk factor coefficients were obtained by Logistic regression method,and the nomogram model was established accordingly.Results:Ke-qi at birth,Zhu-qi at conception and Ke-qi at conception were independent risk factors for lung diseases(P<0.05).Conclusion:The nomogram model can be applied to predict lung diseases in Changchun,it can also predict the risk of lung diseases.