试析返贫风险预警机制的内涵与逻辑

The Connotation and Logic of the Warning Mechanism of Poverty-Returning

2020年后,预防和化解返贫风险将成为公共经济治理的一种常态化形式。预防返贫风险机制具有前置性、协同性、触点化和常态化特点。它的基本框架包括风险信号识别、风险控制流程和风险关联管理三大方面。信号识别系统的复杂性、风险控制流程的二维性(动态流程和静态化流程)、风险关联管理的紧密性,使返贫风险预警机制执行的实效具有匡正经济发展方向和及时止损的作用。构建预防返贫风险机制应基于客观世界的内在逻辑,就是要重塑经济结构力,进化预警机构组织的能力,加强人本逻辑对资本逻辑的全面引导,使整个机制能够最大限度地减少内外冲突,顺应“以人为中心”的时代理念。

After 2020,anti-poverty practice will enter another norm of public economic governance:preventing and resolving the risk of poverty-returning.The construction of the warning mechanism has the characteristics of prepositiveness,coordination,and normalization.Its basic framework includes risk signal identification,control process and associated management.The complexity of the signal recognition system,the two-dimensional nature of the risk control process(dynamic process and static process),and the closeness of the risk association management make the implementation of the mechanism have the effect of rectifying the economic development and stopping losses in time.The construction of the mechanism should be based on the internal logic of the objective world:reshaping of the economic structure,optimizing its capability and minimizing the internal and external conflicts with the new era concept of“human centered”.