如何兑现减排承诺:我国首次实现碳达峰的启示

How to Fulfill the Carbon Emission Reduction Commitment:Enlightenment of the First Carbon Emission Peaking in China

习近平主席在联合国大会上作出承诺,我国要在2030年前实现碳达峰和2060年前实现碳中和,在国内外引起了巨大的反响。然而,如何兑现承诺?回顾2013年我国曾因为煤炭价格高,社会各界扩张煤电的欲望大幅下降,从而实现了我国首次碳达峰,说明实现减排承诺的关键,是要控制和减少煤电。事实说明,我国能源革命电力转型的道路,第一步先是低碳化(油气取代煤炭);第二步才是无碳化(可再生能源)。也有可能直接由高碳,进入无碳化阶段。总之,煤电的退出是不可抗拒的规律,我国和全世界各国都一样,控制和减少煤电,是实现碳减排的基本前提。

President Xi Jinping made a promise at the UN General Assembly that China will realize the carbon emission peaking before 2030 and the carbon neutrality before 2060,which has caused great international repercussions.However,great efforts should be made to fulfill the commitment.A review on the first carbon emission peaking in China in 2013,which is due to the high coal price and consequently the largely dropped desire of the coal-fired power,shows that the key to achieve the emission reduction goal is to control and reduce the coal-fire power.In fact,for the energy revolution and power transformation work in China,the first step is low carbon emission(coal replaced by oil and gas)and the next step is zero carbon emission(renewable energy).It could also transform from the high carbon emission stage to the zero carbon emission stage.While the withdrawal of the coal-fire power is irresistible both in China and in the rest of the world.Controlling and reduction of the coal-fired power is the basic premise to realize the carbon emission reduction.