林业产业结构影响因素的实证分析——基于多元线性回归模型

An Empirical Analysis of the Influences on Forestry Industrial Structure——Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model

以多元线性回归模型为载体,使用Stata计量软件对我国2000年以来林业方面的各项经济数据进行统计分析,并指出自然要素禀赋、宏观经济发展情况、微观生产要素、政府政策与环境方面影响我国林业产业结构层次的要素。研究结果表明:森林蓄积量、城镇化水平与林业产业结构的优化度呈相同变化趋势,林业制度改革具有推动林业产业结构积极转型的作用,同时居民消费水平对林业产业结构具有显著影响。并从自然资源禀赋等四个方面提出了建议。

This paper analyzed various economic data on forestry in China from 2000 to present on the basis of multiple linear regression model with the aid of Stata.Meanwhile,it pointed out that some natural resources factors,macro-economic development factors,micro-economic production factors and policy and environment factors exert subtle effected on forestry industrial structure.The results indicated that the variation trend of forest growing stock and urbanization rate shared a similarity with the tendency of forestry industrial structural optimization,and forestry revolution was likely to promote the transformation of forestry industrial structure on the plus side.Moreover,household consumption level had positive and prominent influences on forestry industrial structure.Hence,the paper offered suggestions concerned in four aspects such as natural resources factors,providing ways to improve the forestry industrial structure for reference.