高质量发展背景下的西藏全要素生产率研究

Research on Tibet’s Total Factor Productivity Under the Background of High-Quality Development

伴随着“提高全要素生产率”先后被正式写入国务院政府工作报告和党的十九大报告,近年来全要素生产率理论开始得到国内外学者的广泛关注。在此背景下,运用非参数DEA-Malmquist指数分析法对2000-2018年西藏全要素生产率进行了测算分解,并与同时期全国平均水平和主要民族地区水平进行了横向比较。研究结论表明,西藏当前正处于工业化前期向工业化中期的转型发展阶段,21世纪以来全要素生产率虽然呈现出“√”型的缓慢回升态势,但总体上仍然处于低位区间波动徘徊,相对滞后于全国和主要民族地区平均水平。因此,未来西藏经济要实现高质量发展的目标,迫切需要通过一系列有效改革措施,加快实现经济增长方式由要素投入拉动向全要素生产率驱动转变。

In recent years,the theory of Total Factor Productivity( TFP) has been widely concerned by scholars all over the world,as "improving TFP" was formally written into the reports of the State Council and 19 th CPC National Congress. Under the background,this paper calculates and decomposes Tibet’s TFP based on the non-parametric DEA Malmquist index method from 2000 to 2018,and making a horizontal comparison with the level of national average and ethnic areas in the same period. The conclusion shows that Tibet is currently in the transition stage from early to middle stage of industrialization. Although Tibet’s TFP has a slow recovery trend of "√" style in this century,it is still generally fluctuating in low range and relatively lagging behind of the national average and ethnic areas. Therefore,it is urgent to adopt a series of effective reform measures to accelerate the transformation of economic growth mode which from factor input to TFP,in order to achieve the goal of Tibet’s high-quality development in the future.