产业结构升级对绿色经济高质量发展影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Influence of Industrial Structure Upgrading on the High-quality Development of Green Economy

中国经济已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段,迫切需要转变发展方式,优化经济结构,而产业结构升级是实现经济绿色可持续发展的必由之路。基于承德市六大主导产业2008—2018年面板数据,运用DEA-Malmquist指数模型对产业结构升级的绿色经济效应进行全要素生产率分析,并以测算的Malmquist规模指数为因变量建立面板模型。根据模型结果可知,产业结构合理化、产业结构收益化及政府干预对经济增长产生正向影响,产业结构高级化对其产生负向影响。此外,个体固定效应表明大数据和文化旅游产业受不可观测因素的影响小于其他产业。

The transformation from high-speed growth to high-quality development of Chinese economy requires the change of the development mode and the optimization of the economic structure.The industrial structure upgrading is a necessary way to realize the green and sustainable development of economy.Based on the panel data of six leading industries in Chengde City from 2008 to 2018,by means of DEA-Malmquist index model,the study makes a total factor productivity analysis of the green economic effect of industrial structure upgrading,and establishes the panel model with the measured Malmquist scale index as the dependent variable.The model results show that the rationalization of industrial structure,the profitability of industrial structure and the government intervention have a positive influence on the economic growth,while the upgrading of industrial structure has a negative influence on it.In addition,the individual fixed effect shows that big data and the industry of cultural tourism are less affected by unobservable factors than other industries.