“双一流”政策对高校本科生源质量的影响研究

Research on the Influence of “Double First-Class” Policy on the Quality of Undergraduate Students

本研究主要基于软科中国最好大学排名2016—2020年高校生源质量(新生高考成绩)排名数据,运用中断式时间序列准实验方法中的单组时间序列实验法,分析了“双一流”政策对高校本科生源质量的影响。研究发现:“双一流”建设高校生源质量差异较大,但区间分布相对比较稳定;“双一流”政策对本科生源质量存在一定影响,38所985高校和67所211高校进一步巩固了生源质量的优势地位;3所进入一流大学建设名单的211高校和19所进入一流学科建设名单的非211高校,生源质量均有一定提升;原来生源质量较好但未进入“双一流”建设名单的高校,生源质量呈下降趋势。这是由政府资源投入的持续性、社会人才需求的导向性和大学自身发展的稳定性所决定的。

Based on the ranking data of the best universities in China from 2016 to 2020,this paper analyzes the influence of“double first-class”policy on the source quality of undergraduates by using the single group time series experiment method in the interruptive time series quasi experiment method.It is found that there are great differences in the quality of students in“double first-class”universities,but the distribution is relatively stable.The“double first-class”policy has a certain impact on the quality of undergraduate students.38 of Project 985 universities and 67 of Project 211 universities have further consolidated the advantage of high quality students.In addition,3 of Project 211 universities have entered the list of first-class universities and 19 of non-Project 211 universities have entered the list of first-class disciplines and the quality of their students has improved to a certain extent.However,the quality of students in those colleges and universities with good quality but not in the list of“double first-class”construction shows a downward trend.This results from the continuity of government resource input,the orientation of social talent demand and the stability of the university’s own development.