人口老龄化对城乡居民消费结构的影响研究——基于LA-AIDS拓展模型视角

Thestudy of Influence about Population Aging on Consumption Structure of Urban and Rural-base on LA-AIDS Extended Model

通过扩展LA-AIDS模型,引入人口特征变量即年龄、性别差异、受教育程度和城乡收入差距等影响因素,分析人口老龄化对城乡居民消费结构的影响,根据中国2003—2017年省际面板数据进行实证研究,研究发现人口老龄化对农村居民消费结构具有显著的影响。根据老年化系数,将全国分为深度老龄化、中度老龄化和轻度老龄化三个区域,在不同的老龄化区域,人口老龄化对居民消费结构影响效果不同。

By extending the LA-AIDS model and introducing the population characteristic variables such as age,gender difference,education level and urban-rural income gap,this paper analyzes the impact of population aging on the consumption structure of urban and rural residents,and conducts an empirical study based on the provincial panel data of China from 2003 to 2017.The results show that the aging population has a significant impact on the consumption structure of rural residents.According to the aging coefficient,the country is divided into three regions:deep aging,poisoning aging and mild aging.In different aging regions,the effect of population aging on Residents’consumption structure is different.Using the analysis of expenditure elasticity,this paper puts forward corresponding measures and suggestions to reduce the consumption gap between urban and rural residents in different aging areas.