京津冀旅游协同发展网络时空演化及影响因素研究

A Research on Tourism Synergistic Development Network Evolution and Influencing Factors of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

本文以京津冀三地13个城市为基本研究单元,采用隶属函数协调度模型测度城市之间的旅游协同发展水平,利用社会网络分析方法、探索性数据分析方法研究旅游协同发展的时空演变特征,并采用灰色关联分析对影响旅游协同发展的相关因素展开研究。结果表明:在考察期内,京津冀城市间旅游协同发展水平显著提升,旅游协同发展网络初步成型,北京—天津这一城市组合具备较高的协同发展水平;京津冀旅游协同发展网络密度不断增加,秦皇岛、张家口、承德成为推进区域旅游协同发展的关键枢纽区域;从区域特征来看,京津冀旅游协同发展网络呈现北部相对紧密、南部相对稀疏的空间分布格局,区域内部城市间存在显著的空间正相关性,空间聚集态势逐年提升;通过灰色关联分析发现,生态环境是影响京津冀旅游协同发展的首要因素,创新环境对城市协同发展水平提高具有重要影响。

In this paper,13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region are selected as research objects,based on Membership Function Coordination Model(MFCM),the tourism synergistic development degree was measured;the social network analysis method(SNA)and Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA)tools were employed to study the spatial evolution characteristics of tourism synergistic development;then the influencing factors was studied by the Grey Correlation Analysis(GCA).The result showed:during the inspection period,the tourism synergistic development degree increased significantly,and the regional network has basically formed.The coordinated development of tourism among cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been significantly improved;The Tourism Synergistic Development Network density increased;Cities such as Qinhuangdao,Zhangjiakou and Chengde were the key areas which promote the synergistic development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region;From the regional characteristics,the spatial structure of the research area presented the pattern that south was relatively sparse,and north was densely.There is a significant positive spatial correlation between cities within the region,while the spatial aggregation situation showed a increasing trend year by year.Judging from the research conclusions of Gray Correlation Analysis,ecological environment is the primary factor affecting the coordinated development of tourism,innovation ability has an important impact on improving the level of tourism synergistic development.