雾霾污染对服务业绿色发展的影响研究——基于省级面板数据的空间计量经济学实证

Research on the Impact of Haze Pollution on the Green Development of Service Industry:An Empirical Study of Spatial Econometrics based on Provincial Panel Data

运用非径向距离函数(NDDF)测算出2006—2016年中国30个(西藏、港澳台除外)省区市的服务业绿色发展水平,构建了地理距离矩阵、经济距离矩阵和技术距离矩阵,对比分析了雾霾污染对省份服务业绿色发展水平的全局性和异质性影响。研究发现:雾霾污染与省份服务业绿色发展水平之间存在此消彼长的关系,雾霾污染与省份服务业绿色发展水平在全国层面可能存在"N型"关系,而与人力资本存在较弱的"倒N型"关系,雾霾污染与东部省份服务业绿色发展水平可能存在"倒U型"曲线关系,而与中部省份、西部省区市服务业绿色水平存在"U型"曲线关系。研究从雾霾治理政策、研发投入强度、基础设施建设力度等方面提出相应对策建议。

The paper uses the non radial distance function(NDDF)to calculate the level of green development of service industry in 30 provinces(cities)of China(except Tibet,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)from 2006 to 2016,and comparatively analyzes the global and heterogeneous impact of haze pollution on the green development of service industry in provinces by constructing the geographical distance matrix,economic distance matrix and technical distance matrix.The results show that:Haze pollution and the green development of service industry in provinces have a reciprocal relationship,and they may have a"N-type"relationship at the national level,while there is a weak"inverted N-type"relationship between haze pollution and human capital.Haze pollution and the green development of service industry in eastern provinces may have an"inverted U-type"curve relationship,while they have a"U-shaped"curve relationship in central and western provinces.Therefore,suggestions are put forward from the aspects of haze control policy,R&D investment intensity,infrastructure construction.