摘要
根据2002~2017年中国与西亚十四国的相关贸易数据,利用随机前沿引力模型对中国与西亚国家的贸易效率、潜力及影响因素进行研究的结果表明,人均GDP、政治稳定性、货币自由度和贸易自由度对贸易效率有显著正向影响;地理距离与贸易效率成负相关;人口对贸易效率的影响因国家的不同而存在差异性;中国与西亚国家的实际贸易水平与前沿贸易水平尚存在差距,具有较大的提升空间。因此,中国应该深化与西亚国家在运输通道和基础设施建设方面的合作;加快自贸区谈判进程和增强人民币的贸易结算功能;构建多层次政府间及非政府间沟通机制。
Based on the relevant trade data of China and 14 countries in West Asia from 2002 to 2017,this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to study the efficiency,potential and influencing factors of trade between China and West Asia countries.The research results show that GDP per capita,political stability,currency freedom,and trade freedom have significant positive effects on trade efficiency.Geographic distance is negatively correlated with trade efficiency.The impact of population on trade efficiency varies from country to country.There is still a gap between the actual level of bilateral trade and the frontier level of bilateral trade.Based on the results of the above research,this article puts forward suggestions for increasing the trade efficiency between China and West Asian countries and unlocking trade potential from three aspects:cooperation in the construction of transport facilities,free trade negotiations and RMB settlement,and the establishment of a multilevel communication mechanism.
作者
高鹏
陆文玥
GAO Peng;LU Wen-yue(School of International Relations,University of Foreign Languages,Dalian 116044,Liaoning Province,China;School of English,University of Foreign Languages,Dalian 116044,Liaoning Province,China)
出处
《沈阳农业大学学报(社会科学版)》
2020年第5期563-570,共8页
Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
教育部国别和区域研究课题(19GBQY034)
辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L15CJL002)
辽宁省自然科学基金(20170540041)
大连外国语大学创新创业训练项目(202010172134)。
关键词
中国
西亚
一带一路
随机前沿法
引力模型
贸易效率
West Asia
the Belt and Road
Stochastic frontier method
Gravity Model
Trade Efficiency