国内国际双循环相互促进研究——中国规模化经济视角

Research on the Mutual Promotion of Domestic and International Dual Circulation:From the Perspective of China’s Large-scale Economy

构建"以国内大循环为主体,国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局",并不是忽视国际循环,而是追求国际循环更高质量的发展。本文通过对中国与相同人均GDP时期的日本、韩国和欧美国家进行比较发现,同发展水平下,中国的生产、消费和对外贸易等的规模均远大于这些已经实现工业化的国家。这种规模化发展模式不仅促成了国内大循环强大的生产供给能力和消费需求潜能,而且可以通过出口贸易、对外投资、进口消费和外资引进等多条路径向其他国家释放"工业化红利",加速全球特别是诸多发展中国家的工业化进程,助推国际循环的高质量发展。本文从中国规模化经济视角探讨中国全球工业化的贡献,为国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局提供了理论支持。

The introduction of the strategy"dual circulation"development pattern,in which domestic and foreign markets can boost each other,with the domestic market as the mainstay,does not imply that China will turn its back on the rest of the world,but to pursue higher quality development of the international circulation.By comparing China with Japan,South Korea,the U.S.and major European countries in the period of similar GDP per capita level,we find that China’s production capacity,market size and trade volume are far larger than those of these industrialized countries on the similar level of development stage.This super-large scale development pattern not only promotes the strong production supply capacity and consumption demand potential of the domestic economic circulation,but also releases"industrialization dividend"to other countries through export trade,outward foreign investment,import consumption and the introduction of foreign investment,so as to accelerate the industrialization process of the world,especially for developing countries,and boost the high-quality development of the international circulation.From the perspective of China’s large-scale economy,this paper discusses the contribution of China’s global industrialization,which provides theoretical evidences for the"dual circulation"development pattern.