家庭背景、自我教育期望与高等教育获得——基于CFPS 2010-2016年追踪数据的实证研究

Family Background Self-Education Expectation and Higher Education Attainment——An Empirical Research Based on CFPS 2010-2016 Tracking Data

当前,学者们在研究高等教育获得的影响因素时,对家庭社会经济地位、同胞数量等先赋性因素的关注较多,而对自我教育期望等自致性因素的关注较少。基于2010—2016年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据,通过Logistic回归分析和结构方程模型(SEM),本研究发现:家庭社会经济地位和自我教育期望正向影响学生高等教育获得结果,同胞数量负向影响学生高等教育获得结果;此外,家庭社会经济地位和同胞数量还可以通过自我教育期望间接影响学生高等教育获得结果。

Nowadays,when studying the factors affecting the attainment of higher education,scholars pay more attention to the pre-existing factors such as family socio-economic status and sibling,while pay less attention to self-induced factors such as self-education expectation.Based on CFPS 2010-2016 data,through logistic regression analysis and structural equation model(SEM),it is found that family socio-economic status and self-education expectation positively affects students’higher education attainment,while sibling numbers negatively affect students’higher education attainmetnt;in addition,family socio-economic status and sibling numbers can also indirectly offect students’higher education attainment through self-education expectation.