产业结构调整、环境规制与经济增长——基于中国2005—2017年30个省域面板数据的实证研究

Industrial Structure Adjustment,Environmental Regulation and Economic Growth Based on the Data of 30 Provinces from 2005 to 2017 in China

利用我国2005—2017年30个省域面板数据,实证检验了现阶段产业结构调整和环境规制对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明:(1)我国现阶段的产业结构调整抑制了经济增长;(2)环境规制与经济增长之间存在倒"U"型的曲线关系,现阶段环境规制促进了经济增长;(3)加入产业结构调整与环境规制强度的交互项后发现,环境规制可以有效减小现阶段产业结构调整对经济增长的负面影响。根据研究分析得出,现阶段的产业结构调整要避免出现快速"去工业化"的现象,经济发展依然要依托制造业的坚实发展等。

Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2005 to 2017,empirically examines the impact of industrial structure adjustment and environmental regulation on economic growth.The results show that:(1)the adjustment of industrial structure at the present stage suppresses economic growth;(2)there is an inverted U-shaped curve relationship between environmental regulation and economic growth,environmental regulation promotes economic growth at the present stage;(3)after adding the interaction between industrial structure adjustment and the intensity of environmental regulation,it is found that environmental regulation can effectively reduce the negative impact of industrial structure adjustment on economic growth.According to the research and analysis,it is concluded that the industrial structure adjustment at the present stage should avoid the phenomenon of rapid"deindustrialization",economic development should still rely on the solid development of the manufacturing industry and so on.