新冠疫情影响下的东南亚经济

Southeast Asia s Economy under the Impact of COVID-19 Pamdemic

突然爆发的新冠疫情打破了东南亚持续向上的经济走势,给东南亚经济发展带来了较大的不确定性。疫情不仅使东南亚经济遭受重创,也加速了东南亚经济的发展转型,使其呈现出一些新的发展趋势。具体表现在如下几个方面:疫情助推了东南亚数字经济的发展与转型;疫情下全球产业链的分散与重组为东南亚地区经济发展提供了新机遇,东盟新四国将继续保持较好的发展势头;东南亚各国企业转型升级加速并出现新趋势;东南亚区域经济一体化进程明显加快。在众多内外部因素的影响与制约下,东南亚经济也将面临增长放缓的压力和各种区域问题的挑战。东南亚经济发展的新态势将对中国—东盟经贸关系、中国对外战略以及亚太地区的地缘政治格局产生直接而深远的影响。

The sudden outbreak of COVID-19 broke the continuous upward economic trend in Southeast Asia and brought greater uncertainty to the economic development of Southeast Asia.The pandemic not only caused severe damage to the Southeast Asian economy,but also shaped and accelerated the development and transformation of the Southeast Asian economy,laying the foundation for the development trend and basic characteristics of the Southeast Asian economy in the post-COVID-19 era.The economic pattern of Southeast Asia under the pandemic has shown a relatively obvious development trend:the pandemic has promoted the development and transformation of Southeast Asia s digital economy,the epidemic has accelerated the decentralization and reorganization of the global industrial chain,and provided new opportunities for the economy of Southeast Asia,and the four new ASEAN countries(CLMV)will continue to maintain good The momentum of economic development,the acceleration of corporate transformation and upgrading and the emergence of new trends,and the obvious advancement of regional economic integration as well.Under the influence and constraints from numerous internal and external factors,Southeast Asia will also face the pressure of slowing economic growth and the challenges of various regional issues.The development trend and regional challenges of Southeast Asia s economy shaped by the impact of COVID-19 pandemic will have a direct and far-reaching impact on China-ASEAN economic and trade relations,our nation s foreign strategy,and regional geopolitical structure.