大国竞合新态势下的阿富汗和平进程

Peace Process in Afghanistan in the New Context of Competition and Cooperation among Major Powers

2021年是阿富汗战争20周年。20年前的“9·11”事件以及美国随后发动的阿富汗战争,使阿富汗战乱冲突延宕了20年,其和平重建举步维艰。2020年2月,美国与阿富汗塔利班达成“多哈协议”,标志着阿富汗和平进程进入新阶段。但协议签署一年多来落实并不顺利,阿富汗人的内部谈判屡屡受挫。当前,美国拜登新政府的阿富汗政策走向不定,阿富汗问题与大国新一轮博弈联动共振,其和平进程再次走到关键路口,面临新的复杂性和不确定因素。阿富汗最终能否走上和平发展之路,需要国际社会、地区国家及阿富汗国内各派的共同努力。

This year marks the 20th anniversary of the Afghanistan war.9/11 and the war waged by the US on Afghanistan 20 years ago have plunged Afghanistan into two decades of war and conflict,making its peace process difficult.In February 2020,the US reached a“Doha deal”with the Taliban in Afghanistan,which marked a new stage in the Afghan peace process.Nonetheless,the implementation of this agreement is not smooth,as the Afghans’internal negotiations have repeatedly foundered.Currently,the US policy on Afghanistan under the new administration of Joe Biden is not certain,and the Afghanistan issue resonates with the new round of game among major powers.Therefore,the Afghan peace process is once again at a crossroad,facing new complex and uncertain factors.Whether Afghanistan can finally embark on path of peaceful development requires joint efforts of the international community,regional countries and various factions within Afghanistan.