潜射鱼雷命中概率的解析计算通式及应用

Analytic Formula and Employment of the Hitting Probability for Sub-Launched Torpedo

为建立预定相遇态势的潜射鱼雷命中概率的解析计算通式,采用几何分析法,首先分析相遇态势对潜射鱼雷命中概率的影响,建立了不同自导方式下鱼雷二次转角射击时命中偏差的通用计算模型;在此基础上,建立了鱼雷命中概率的解析计算通式,并分析了模型参数的取值情况;最后,基于实例计算结果,定量分析了鱼雷命中概率曲线,对比分析了鱼雷命中概率的解析计算结果和仿真计算结果,验证了鱼雷命中概率解析计算方法的可行性和模型的正确性,基于鱼雷一次转角射击和二次转角射击2种情况,对比分析了不同要素误差对鱼雷命中结果的影响程度。

To establish the analytic formula of the hitting probability for sub-launched torpedo with a predetermined encounter situation,the geometric analysis method is adopted.Firstly,the influence of encounter situation on the hitting probability of sub-launched torpedo is analyzed,and the general calculation model of the torpedo hitting error in the two-time rotating angle shooting with different homing modes are established.On this basis,the analytic formula of torpedo hitting probability is established,and the values of model parameters are analyzed.Finally,based on the calculation results of examples,the torpedo hitting probability curves are analyzed quantitatively,the analytical calculation result and the simulation calculation results of torpedo hitting probability are compared,the feasibility of the analytical calculation method and the correctness of the model are verified.The influence of different elements errors on torpedo hitting result is compared and analyzed based on torpedo one-time and two-time rotating angle shooting.