2020/2021年榨季广西蔗区收榨跟踪与下榨季前瞻

The tracing of grinding season and predict of the next grinding season in Guangxi cane-growing region in 2020/2021

广西蔗糖产业的发展情况是国产糖增减产情况及国内糖价走势的重要影响指标。在国内糖价偏低、期现价格背离频现背景下,为了让业界深入了解广西蔗糖产业发展情况,文章对广西蔗区2020/2021年榨季收榨情况进行了跟踪分析,并得出两大预估结论:广西2020/2021年榨季产糖量预估值为630万吨,2021/2022年榨季广西甘蔗种植面积将有望止跌回升,预估值微增至1140万亩左右。

The development of sucrose industry in Guangxi is an important indicator of the increase and decrease of domestic sugar and the trend of domestic sugar price.Under the background of low domestic sugar price and frequent price divergence,in order to give the industry an in-depth understanding of the development of sugar industry in Guangxi,this paper conducts a tracking analysis on the harvest of sugarcane in the 2020/2021 season in Guangxi,and draws two estimation conclusions:In 2020/2021,the sugar production in Guangxi is estimated to be 6.3 million tons.In 2020/2022,the planting area of sugarcane in Guangxi is expected to stop the decline and pick up,with the estimated increase to about 760 thousands of hectares.