摘要
[目的/意义]旨在对情报分析主体的心理盲区进行研究分析,并从新制度机制以及工具运用的角度提出避免情报分析心理盲区的手段方法,以有效降低心理盲区给情报分析准确性带来的不利干扰。[方法/过程]从人的认知思维角度出发,在情报实践应用场景下,总结归纳情报分析人员可能出现的常见心理盲区类型,并分析其对情报人员及决策的负面影响。[结果/结论]针对情报分析实践中情报分析主体可能出现的认知心理盲区,通过完善情报分析组织客体的制度,从情报分析客体机制上有效降低心理盲区对情报分析人员的影响,增加符合情报分析主体认知思维模式的分析工具,既避免了可能的认知偏差,同时提高了情报判别的速度和效率,最终实现提高情报分析准确率的目的。
[Purpose/significance]The paper aims to study and analyze the psychological blind spot of intelligence analysis subject,and put forward methods to avoid the psychological blind spot of intelligence analysis from the perspective of new system mechanism and tool application,so as to effectively reduce the adverse interference of psychological blind spot to the accuracy of intelligence analysis.[Method/process]From the perspective of human cognitive thinking,the paper summarizes the common types of psychological blind spot that may appear in intelligence analysis subject in the context of intelligence practical application,and analyzes their negative effects on intelligence personnel and decision-making.[Result/conclusion]Aiming at the possible cognitive psychological blind spot of intelligence analysis subject in the practice of intelligence analysis,by improving the system of intelligence analysis organization object,it can effectively reduce the impact of psychological blind spot on intelligence analysis subject from the mechanism of intelligence analysis object,and increase the analysis tools in line with the cognitive thinking mode of intelligence analysis subject,which can not only avoid possible cognitive bias,but also improve the speed and efficiency of intelligence discrimination,and ultimately achieve the purpose of improving the accuracy of intelligence analysis.
作者
邓喆
Deng Zhe(Politics College of China People’s Liberation Army National Defence University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210000)
出处
《情报探索》
2021年第5期78-82,共5页
Information Research
关键词
情报分析
心理盲区
影响分析
对策建议
intelligence analysis
psychological blind spot
influence analysis
countermeasures and suggestions