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Exploring individuals’ effective preventive measures against epidemics through reinforcement learning

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摘要 Individuals’ preventive measures,as an effective way to suppress epidemic transmission and to protect themselves from infection,have attracted much academic concern,especially during the COVID-19 pandemic.In this paper,a reinforcement learning-based model is proposed to explore individuals’ effective preventive measures against epidemics.Through extensive simulations,we find that the cost of preventive measures influences the epidemic transmission process significantly.The infection scale increases as the cost of preventive measures grows,which means that the government needs to provide preventive measures with low cost to suppress the epidemic transmission.In addition,the effective preventive measures vary from individual to individual according to the social contacts.Individuals who contact with others frequently in daily life are highly recommended to take strict preventive measures to protect themselves from infection,while those who have little social contacts do not need to take any measures considering the inevitable cost.Our research contributes to exploring the effective measures for individuals,which can provide the government and individuals useful suggestions in response to epidemics.
作者 崔亚鹏 倪顺江 申世飞 Ya-Peng Cui;Shun-Jiang Ni;Shi-Fei Shen(Institute of Public Safety Research,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;Department of Engineering Physics,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China;Beijing Key Laboratory of City Integrated Emergency Response Science,Beijing 100084,China)
出处 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第4期640-647,共8页 中国物理B(英文版)
基金 Project supported by the National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2018YFF0301000) the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.71673161 and 71790613)。
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