“一带一路”沿线国家金融服务贸易风险及防治策略

Risks of Financial Service Trade in One-belt-one-road Countries and Control

在“一带一路”的带动下,沿线国家之间的贸易往来越来越密切,但是由于风险因素的存在,给金融服务贸易活动开展带来了巨大阻碍。为此,进行“一带一路”沿线国家金融服务贸易风险及防治策略研究是十分必要的。研究先是在文献资料法、访谈法、逻辑分析法以及层次分析法的逐步分析下,建立本文主题的研究框架,明确“一带一路”沿线国家金融服务贸易风险因素,并对这些因素进行定量计算,得出风险排序由大到小分别为政治风险、经济风险、债务风险、合同风险、信用风险、自然环境风险。后根据得出的风险因素,提出相应政治及政策风险、经济风险、债务风险、合同风险及信用风险的防治策略,以期提高国家贸易往来的安全性,促进沿线各国经济发展。

Driven by the one-belt-one road initiative,trade between the countries along the line is getting closer and closer.However,risks are big obstacles to the development of financial service trade.Therefore,prevention and control of the risk are very necessary.Based on the analysis of literature,interview,logical analysis and hierarchy analysis,the research framework of the topic of this paper is established.Risks of financial service trade in belt-and-road countriesare defined,which are quantitatively calculated.It is concluded that the risks are political risk,economic risk,debt risk,contract risk,credit risk and natural environment risk,which are ranked from high to low.This paper puts forward corresponding prevention and control strategies in order to improve the security of tradeand promote the economic development of countries along the belt and road.