人力资本结构高级化对服务业结构升级的影响研究--基于中国城市面板数据

The Impact of Advanced Human Capital Structure on the Upgrading of Service Industry Structure:Based on Panel Data of Cities in China

基于中国251个城市的面板数据,实证分析人力资本结构高级化对服务业结构升级的影响,研究发现:人力资本结构高级化是中国服务业结构升级的重要推动因素,城市的人力资本结构高级化程度越高,越有利于服务业结构升级;异质性分析表明,人力资本结构高级化的影响在省会城市效果更为显著;时效性分析表明,人力资本结构高级化对服务业结构升级的影响在滞后第三期的时效性更强。因此政府应充分考虑人力资本结构升级的重要作用,提升劳动效率、促进创新,根据地区的经济实力和资源禀赋等实际情况,因地制宜地制定宏观经济政策以提升服务业的结构水平。

Compared with developed countries,the structural level of China’s service industry has been lagging for a long time.Effectively improving the structural level of the service industry is an important proposition in my country’s current research.Based on the data of 251 prefecture-level cities in China,this paper constructs a mathematical model to analyze the impact of advanced human capital structure on the upgrading of the service industry structure.The results indicate that the advanced structure of human capital is an important driving factor for the upgrading of the service industry structure of China’s prefecture-level cities;the higher the advanced degree of a city’s human capital structure,the more conducive to the upgrading of the service industry structure.The analysis of heterogeneity shows that the effect of advancement in the structure of human capital is more significant in provincial capital cities.Timeliness analysis shows that the impact of advancement of the human capital structure on the upgrading of the service industry structure is more timeliness after the third period.It can be concluded that the government should give full consideration to the important role of the upgrading of the human capital structure in the process of promoting the upgrading of the service industry structure,pay attention to relevant policies to improve labor efficiency and promote innovation,adjust measures to local conditions according to the actual conditions of the region’s economic strength and resource endowments,formulate macroeconomic policies to improve the structural level of the service industry.