生产投入、政府激励与企业生产规模决策

Production input,government incentives and enterprise production scale decision

在同时面临外生性和内生性因素影响的需求不确定环境下,通过建立生产投入,政府激励和企业生产规模的决策模型,在研究企业生产投入的价值表达式的基础上,分析了生产投入,政府激励与企业生产规模决策之间的作用机理,对临界值方程、最优生产规模和最优政府激励作了分析.并通过模拟赋值对数理模型进行了数值分析.研究表明:1)灵活的企业可依据市场需求的变化,参考资本化未来生产规模、政府激励现金流、放弃期权价值和需求变化期权价值等对生产规模进行最优化调整;2)当企业单位时间收益流满足一定水平时,存在最优生产规模方程和最优政府激励方程及其相应的阈值方程;3)生产投入,政府激励及企业生产规模之间联系密切,灵活的企业可据此对生产进行动态调整.此外,还与外生性模型作比较验证了该模型的适应性等.由此,可作为需求不确定环境下加强企业生产规模决策的一种参考.

Under the uncertain demand environment facing both exogenous and endogenous factors,by establishing a decision model for production input,government incentives,and enterprise production scale,based on the research on the value expressions of production inputs of enterprises,the mechanism of production inputs,government incentives,and decision-making on enterprise production scale is analyzed,and the critical value equation,optimal production scale,and optimal government incentives are analyzed.The study shows:1)Flexible enterprises can optimize the production scale according to changes in market demand,with reference to capitalized future production scale,government incentive cash flow,abandonment option value,and demand change option value,etc;2)When the enterprise unit time income stream meets at a certain level,there exists an optimal production scale equation and an optimal government incentive equation and their corresponding threshold equations;3)There is a close relationship between production input,government incentives,and enterprise production scale,and flexible enterprises can dynamically adjust production accordingly.In addition,comparisons with exogenous models verify the adaptability of the model.Therefore,it can be used as a reference to strengthen the production scale decision of enterprises in an environment of uncertain demand.