区域一体化的多重路径——地区经济组织的定性比较分析

Multiple Pathways to Regional Integration:Analyzing Regional Economic Organizations with QCA

区域一体化是当今世界发展趋势之一,形成了形式多样的地区经济组织。本文选取20个地区经济组织为案例,基于模糊集定性比较分析,立足于经济相互依存、地区领导国、地区身份、国内政治和持续时间五个前因条件,探讨世界上不同地区经济组织制度能力差异,彰显出区域一体化的发展程度。本文结论认为,形成较高程度区域一体化有四条路径,构成效率、信任和动力三种类型。该结论有别于现有理论,核心在于突出了社会世界的复杂性,指出任何单一理论都不构成解释区域一体化的充分和必要条件。具体来说,经济相互依存为区域一体化提供客观外在需求,地区领导国有助于提升区域一体化效率,地区身份和国内政治塑造成员国信任,促成地区国家合作与一体化。因此,为了提升区域一体化的发展水平,应促进形成上述条件的环境,改善区域治理的质量。

Various regional economic organizations have emerged against the increasing trend of regional integration,which is one of the major trends in the contemporary world.This article studies 20 such regional institutions using fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis(fs-QCA).It uses five antecedent conditions–economic interdependence,regional hegemony,regional identity,domestic politics and time duration–to explore variations in institutional capacity and in the level of regional integration.This paper holds that there are four pathways to greater regional integration,and they fall into three types:efficiency,trust and dynamics.This conclusion is different from the existing theories in that it highlights the complexity of the social world and the interaction of various factors,ruling out any single factor as a necessary and sufficient cause for regional integration.Specifically,economic interdependence provides an objective external demand for regional integration,and regional hegemony helps to enhance the efficiency of the integration process.Regional identity and domestic politics shape the trust among member countries and promote regional integration.Therefore,in order to enhance regional integration and improve regional governance,the above conditions should be promoted.