从公共卫生危机到地缘政治危机--新冠肺炎疫情地缘政治化的生成机制、影响与对策研究

From Public Health Crisis to Geopolitical Crisis:A Study on the Mechanism,Infl uence and Countermeasures of the COVID-19 Geopolitics

新冠病毒大流行以来,全球地缘政治竞争由双边贸易、区域安全向全球性、全领域方向发展,呈现出体系性特征。新冠肺炎疫情地缘政治化是“自上而下”结构路径和“自下而上”单元路径两类传导机制共同作用的结果。后疫情时代,国际体系转型不确定性和不稳定性增强,大国之间竞争与合作同步增长成为新常态,国家安全日益复杂化,区域经济和安全竞争加剧,国际安全治理重要性上升。为此,有必要探索开放性安全共同体理念和国际安全清单,以区域和国际组织为平台,构建国家、区域和国际三级联动全球治理体系。借此,中国可以继续贡献创新理念,扩大国际公共产品供给。

Since the pandemic of COVID-19,the global geopolitical competition has presented systematic characteristics:from bilateral trade and regional security to global and full-field development.It means the increase of friction between great powers deteriorates,the regional security awareness and trade protectionism rise,international multilateral institutions split and the development from public health crisis to geopolitical crisis.Fundamentally,the COVID-19 Geopolitics is the result of the joint action of two transmission mechanisms,Given the uncertainty and instability in the transformation of the international system in the post-epidemic era,the strategic game between great powers has become the new normal,national security has become increasingly complicated,and competition in strategic key areas is intensifying.Therefore,it is necessary to explore the open security communities and the international security checklists,and build a threelevel(national,regional and international)interconnected governance system based on the platform of regional and international organizations.By doing so,China can continue to contribute its innovative ideas and expand the supply of international public goods.