谁更愿意投资高等教育——人力资本流动下地方经济增长促进高等教育财政投入的空间效应与门槛效应

Who is More Willing to Invest in Higher Education:Spatial Effect and Threshold Effect of Financial Investment on Higher Education Promoted by Local Economic Growth on the Flow of Human Capital Perspective

基于省级面板数据,利用固定效应、空间计量和门槛效应模型,实证研究经济增长对高等教育财政投入的影响,识别增长水平不同地区高等教育财政投入的差异,探讨相应的激励政策。结果表明:经济增长虽然有利于促进高等教育财政投入,但经济增长水平更高的地区并没有表现出相比其他地区更强的高等教育投资意愿;地方高等教育财政投入受到经济邻近地区的影响,存在明显的空间示范效应,该效应在中西部地区强,在东部地区弱;产业结构服务化有利于形成对高等教育财政投入的倒逼机制,相比中西部地区,产业结构服务化对高等教育财政投入的激励在东部地区更显著。为保障财政性高等教育经费投入,既需要地方政府促进经济持续增长,也需发挥经济邻近省份之间的相互带动作用,推动产业结构升级,完善人力资本市场。

Based on provincial panel data and using models of fixed effect,spatial econometrics and threshold effect,this paper empirically studies the impact of economic growth on financial investment in higher education,identifies the difference of the willingness to invest in higher education among regions with different levels of growth and discusses relevant incentive policy.The results show that regions with higher levels of economic growth have not shown stronger willingness to invest in higher education than other regions although economic growth is conducive to improving financial investment in higher education.Financial investment in higher education was affected by that of adjacent provinces with similar level of economic growth and so has a remarkable demonstration effect which is stronger in central and western regions than in eastern region.The service-oriented industrial structure is conducive to the formation of an anti-driving mechanism to increase the financial investment in higher education.Compared with central and western regions,the incentive of service-oriented industrial structure to financial investment in higher education is more significant in the eastern region.In order to ensure financial investment in higher education,it is necessary to encourage local governments to promote sustainable growth,give play to the demonstration role of financial investment in higher education,promote the upgrade of industrial structure and improve the human capital market.