俄印关系的新变化及其前景

Russia-India Relations: New Changes and Prospects

俄印关系在大国关系中相对稳定,但近年来在国际和地区战略环境深刻调整之下,俄印对外战略趋向差异性增大,加之双边传统合作动能减弱,两国的分歧逐渐增多并公开化。特别是围绕"印太"的不同看法和政策,成为两国之间的重大战略性分歧。在可预见的未来,俄印战略合作根基不会受到根本动摇,但两国对外战略"渐行渐远"的态势难以扭转,双边之间的分歧将客观存在且可能扩大。俄印关系的变化将牵动国际和地区形势的变化,而其总体稳定符合中国利益。

Russia-India relations are relatively stable among major powers. However, in recent years, due to the profound adjustment of the international and regional strategic environment, the two countries’ foreign strategies have become more and more divergent. Besides, the traditional momentum of bilateral cooperation has weakened, and the differences between the two countries have gradually increased and come into the open. In particular, different views and policies on the"Indo-Pacific"have become major strategic differences between the two countries. In the foreseeable future, the foundation of Russia-India strategic cooperation may not be fundamentally shaken, but the trend of the two countries’ foreign strategies"drifting apart"will be difficult to reverse, and the differences between the two countries will exist and possibly widen. The change of Russia-India relations will affect the international and regional situation. For China, the overall stability of Russia-India relations is in its interest.