日本对华直接投资与中日海运货物量关系的实证分析

Empirical Study on Relationship between Japan’s Direct Investment in China and Volume of China-Japan Seaborne Cargo

基于1996-2018年的时间序列数据,运用Johanson协整检验进行研究,分析日本对华直接投资对中日海运进出口货物量的影响。实证分析结果表明,日本对华直接投资对中国进出口日本海运货物量产生不同的影响,日本对华直接投资对中国出口日本海运货物量为负向影响,日本对华直接投资对中国进口日本海运货物量为正向影响。

Applying the Johanson co-integration test to the time series data from 1996 to 2018,this paper analyzed the impact of Japan’s direct investment in China on the volume of China-Japan seaborne import and export.The empirical analysis found that Japan’s direct investment in China had different effects on the volume of seaborne import and export between the two countries;and that it had negative impact on China’s seaborne export to Japan and positive impact on China’s seaborne import of Japanese goods.