采矿业对俄罗斯各产业发展影响研究

Impact of mining industry on the industries in Russia

文中利用回归模型分析了采矿业与俄罗斯国民经济各产业部门发展的相关性及其显著性。得出以下结论:1)采矿业对俄罗斯产业发展以促进为主,总体尚不存在"资源诅咒"现象。2)采矿业对俄罗斯产业发展及其结构提升作用尚弱,对国民经济发展的拉动作用尚未充分发挥。3)资本不足、产业链短、过于依赖国际市场等因素是造成采矿业对俄罗斯各产业发展带动作用不强的原因。根据结论,提出了相应的政策建议。

Based on the analysis of development trend of Russian mining industry,we calculated the correlation and its significance between mining and all other industries in Russia.The Results showed that:1)mining industry had a positive regression relationship with the industry of electricity and water supply.2)The increment of mining and agriculture had a negative relatively notable relationship.3)In most models,the coefficient of mining as independent variable was positive.Conclusions had been given on the basis of the analysis:1)The impact of mining industry on the other Russian industries were mainly positive,"resource curse"had not appeared in Russia.2)The promoting force of mining industry to the other Russian industries was still weak,mining industry had not given fully benefit to Russian economic development,3)The lack of investment,the shortness of industry chains,and over-dependence on international market were the main causes to the weakness of the promoting force of mining industry.According to the conclusions,suggestions was given:1)It should energetically develop mining industry to pull the development of Russian economics.2)The industry chains should be extended to enforce the promoting ability of mining industry.3)investment environment should be optimized to attract investment to mining industry.4)Education industry should be encouraged and the mining environment be protected to relieve the negative effect of mining.