农地流转增速下降的影响因素研究——基于CFPS2014的理论与实证分析视角

Research on the Influencing Factors of the Decrease in Growth Rate of Agricultural Land Transfer:A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis Based on CFPS 2014

文章建立农地流转驱动力理论模型,使用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2014数据,采用Logistic模型对近年来农地流转进程趋缓的影响因素进行理论和实证分析。研究发现:多数农户倾向于直接利用土地进行农业生产,普遍的兼业化经营状态带来的非农业收入是农户农业收入的重要补充而非替代,老年农户家庭是土地转出的主体。农地流转进程是一个与农村老龄化进程并行的历史过程,提高与农业生产效果脱钩的生产性和社会保障性补贴以及地租水平,将会促使农户倾向于转出土地。

Based on the Drving Model of AgriculturalLand Transfer,the authors empirically analyzed the influencing factors of the slowing down of agricultural land circulation in recent years by using the data of China Family Tracking Survey(CFPS)2014.The study shows that most farmers tend to use land directly for agricultural production,and the non-agricultural income brought by the common state of concurrent operation is an important supplement rather than a substitute for rural household income.The elderly peasant households are the main subjects of land transfer.The process of rural land circulation is a long-term historical process that parallels the aging process in rural areas.Increasing the level of agricultural productivity and social security subsidies and land rents,which are not linked with the production effect,will encourage farmers to transfer their land out.