摘要
本研究基于在广州的农民工专项调查数据,系统的对迁移模式与农民工婚姻稳定性的关系进行了中介效应和调节效应分析。结果发现,单独迁移会通过降低农民工的婚姻满意度而导致其婚姻稳定性下降;婚姻满意度会调节跨省迁移、单独迁移对农民工婚姻稳定性的影响。这一结果表明,农民工婚姻稳定性的下降受到因果机制和调节机制的影响,一些迁移经历会对农民工的婚姻稳定构成直接或间接的风险,另一些迁移经历则为不幸福的婚姻提供了走向解体的机会。人口迁移对婚姻稳定性影响的不同作用机制也意味着政府在制定农民工的婚姻家庭发展计划时需要充分考虑婚姻稳定性下降的不同原因及机制。
Based the data of Migrant Worker Survey 2016 in Guangzhou,this study evaluates the relationship between migration and marital stability among migrant workers by the analysis of mediation and moderation effects.The findings reveal that migration alone lowers marital satisfaction and corrodes marital stability among migrant workers;meanwhile,marital satisfaction can mediate impacts of inter-provincial migration,migration singly on the marital stability among migrant workers.It means that there are both causal mechanism and moderator mechanism in the marital stability of migrant workers,for some migration experience brings them certain direct and indirect risks for marital stability while some provide with chance of divorce to end the marriage in trouble.The findings imply that the governments need consider the various causes and mechanisms of marital stability to formulate a comprehensive policy to promote the development of marriage and family among migrant workers.
作者
李卫东
LI Wei-dong(Department of Sociology Shanxi Normal University,Xi’an Shanxi 710119)
出处
《南方人口》
CSSCI
2021年第3期1-13,共13页
South China Population
基金
国家社科基金项目“童年留守经历对新生代农民工社会适应的影响及应对策略研究”(19BRK037)。
关键词
农民工
人口迁移
婚姻满意度
婚姻稳定性
婚姻
Migrant worker
Population migration
Marital satisfaction
Marital stability
Marriage
