基于Probit-AISM模型的生态农业采纳行为分析——以湖南省298户小农户为例

Analysis of Ecological Agriculture Adoption Behavior Based on Probit-AISM Model——Taking 298 Small Farmers in Hunan Province as an Example

为探究小农户采纳生态农业的行为选择,利用Probit方法分析小农户是否采纳生态农业的因素,运用AISM模型评估影响因素的层级划分及内部影响关系。结果表明,农业年收入、学历层次、农业收入占比、健康状况、认知能力、邻里效应、合作社、技术培训、政策感知对小农户生态农业采纳行为有显著正向影响,年龄对小农户采纳生态农业行为存在显著负向影响。其中,户主年龄和邻里效应为根源性因素,学历层次、农业收入占比、健康状况、认知能力为潜在因素,年收入、政策效应、参与合作社、政策认知为表层因素。

In order to explore the behavioral choices of small farmers in adopting ecological agriculture, the Probit method was used to analyze the factors that determine whether small farmers adopt ecological agriculture, and the AISM model was used to evaluate the hierarchical division of the influencing factors and the internal impact relationship. The results showed that annual agricultural income, education level, agricultural income share, health status, cognitive ability, neighborhood effect, cooperatives, technical training and policy perception had a significant positive effect on the adoption of ecological agriculture by small farmers. There was a significant negative impact on agricultural behavior. Among them, the age of the head of household and the neighborhood effect were the root factors;Education level, the proportion of agricultural income, health status and cognitive ability were the potential factors;Annual income, policy effects, participation in cooperatives and policy cognition were surface factors.