某地区危险废物产生量预测研究

Prediction of Hazardous Waste Production in a Certain Area

准确地掌握危险废物产生量发展变化的动态规律,科学地预测危险废物产生量变化趋势,可以为危险废物的环境规划、处置能力建设和管理决策提供必要的信息。我国几乎所有城市的废物管理已有的电子样本数据有限且信息缺失,是典型的灰色系统。鉴于此,本文选择灰色预测GM(l,l)模型预测我国南方某工业较发达城市危险废物产生量,研究危险废物变化趋势的规律,利用预测结果为环境管理部门提供决策参考。

To accurately grasp the dynamic law of the development and change of hazardous waste production and scientifically predict the change trend of hazardous waste production can provide necessary information for environmental planning,disposal capacity building and management decision-making of hazardous waste.The existing electronic sample data of waste management in almost all cities in China are limited and lack of information,which is a typical grey system.In view of this,this paper selects the Grey Prediction GM(L,l)model to predict the amount of hazardous waste in a developed city in southern China,studies the law of hazardous waste change trend,and uses the prediction results to provide decision-making reference for environmental management departments.