我国航空物流与区域经济互动关系实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Interactive Relationship Between China’s Aviation Logistics and Regional Economy

作为现代物流的重要组成部分,航空物流凭借独特优势成为各地促进市场和资源优化配置、稳定供应链产业链的重要依托,进而成为促进地方产业结构升级、引领地方经济高质量发展的重要引擎。本研究运用格兰杰因果检验方法,利用2003~2019年我国各省份货邮吞吐量和国内生产总值数据对航空物流与区域经济发展之间的协同发展关系进行分析。结果显示虽然从国家层面来看,我国航空物流与国民经济在短期内不存在显著的格兰杰因果关系,但在不同省份间二者关系存在四种不同表现形态,因此我国相关地区应构筑航空物流产业与区域经济互动发展的新经济格局以推动经济高质量发展。

As an important part of modern logistics, aviation logistics with its unique advantages has become an important support to promote the market and resources more widely, optimize the allocation of geographical space, and stabilize the supply chain and industrial chain, and then become an important engine to promote the upgrading of local industrial structure and lead the high-quality development of local economy. In this paper, Granger causality test method is used to analyze the collaborative development relationship between aviation logistics and regional economic development by using the cargo throughput and GDP data of China’s provinces from 2003 to 2019. The results show that although there is no significant Granger causality between China’s aviation logistics and national economy in the short term, but the results show that there are four different forms of relationship between the two in different provinces. Therefore, China’s relevant regions should build aviation logistics industry and region. The new economic pattern of interactive economic development promotes high-quality economic development.