基于随机效应的农业人才省际分布影响因素实证研究

An Empirical Study on Factors Influencing the Provincial Distribution of Agricultural Talents Based on Random Effects

基于2008~2017年我国31个省(市、自治区)的统计数据,运用随机效应模型分析农业人才分布的影响因素。结论如下:(1)吸引农业人才主要受农业经济发展水平、教育水平和耕地面积情况因素影响,生活成本和工资水平未有显著影响。(2)东部地区影响人才分布的是农业经济水平和生活成本,并且生活成本对农业人才的负影响大过农业经济水平对农业人才的正影响。(3)中部地区农业经济水平对人才有显著影响。(4)西部地区农业经济水平和耕地面积情况对人才有显著的吸引作用,并且农业经济水平对人才的吸引力强过耕地面积情况。最后从农业经济发展、教育水平等影响因素提出对策建议。

Based on the statistical data of 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2008 to 2017, this paper uses random effects model to analyze the influencing factors of agricultural talent distribution.The conclusions are as follows:(1) The attraction of agricultural talents is mainly affected by the level of agricultural economic development, the level of education and the area of cultivated land, but not by the cost of living and the level of wages.(2) The distribution of talents in the eastern region is the level of agricultural economy and the cost of living, and the negative impact of cost of living on agricultural talents is greater than the positive impact of agricultural economics on agricultural talents.(3) In the central region, the level of agricultural economy has a significant impact on talent.(4) The agricultural economic level and cultivated land area in the western region have a significant attraction to talents, and the agricultural economic level is more attractive to talents than the cultivated land area. Finally, the conclusions are proposed from the factors affecting agricultural economic development and education level.